Sunday Week #13 Including Mondays Night Game [Indepth analysis and bets]

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*****Handicapping information copied & pasted from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc., USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power, B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~[Cleveland OH] Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Mike Stewart NFL Capper, Sports Analyst Robert Vinaltti, Harold Johnson NFL Analyst, Kyle Davis NFL Capper, Sam Trever NFL Capper, Steve Davis NFL Analyst, Sal Siciliano ,NFL Capper, Harvey DeCarlo NFL Capper Bobby Lancer NFL Analyst Handicapper, There Exclusive Ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT ~

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos My Top Pick & Bet Mondays Night Game

Nix is already started to look like a vet under center and the team is rallying around him quickly. But the biggest thing for Denver this year has been their defense and their ability to put pressure on the other team’s QB. The Browns aren’t particularly strong in aspects of their offense, but Chubb is always a legitimate threat. Unfortunately, he’s up against the sixth best run defense in the league and one of only six teams allowing less than 100 yards on the ground each week. Denver is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against the Browns.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

  • Courtland Sutton has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Broncos' last four games against AFC opponents.
  • Bo Nix has recorded 223+ passing yards in each of the Broncos' last three games following a win.
  • Adam Trautman has recorded 19+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos' last four games as favorites following a road win.
  • Javonte Williams has recorded 41+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine appearances with the Broncos as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Javonte Williams has recorded 57+ rushing and receiving yards in 13 of his 15 previous home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Broncos' last three games.
  • Bo Nix has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Broncos' last two games at Empower Field at Mile High.
  • Kwon Alexander is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
  • Jerry Jeudy has recorded 54+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
  • Nick Chubb has recorded 73+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his six previous road appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances with the Browns as underdogs against AFC West opponents.
  • Jameis Winston has recorded 247+ passing yards in seven of his eight previous December appearances with his team as a road underdog.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 24+ completions in six of his last seven appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Juan Thornhill is just two away from 10 career interceptions. I’m on the Broncos here. The win over the Steelers is all well and good, but now the Browns have to head on the road to take on one of the stiffer defensive units in the NFL and I just don’t know how Jameis Winston is going to fare there. I’m not loving the thought of Bo Nix being chased by Myles Garrett, but Nix can do enough with his legs to get the Broncos moving and I think the Broncos win this one by a TD. Give me Denver. My Bet Broncos -5 Hedging Money Line -$250 X 10 [Press]
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Total Points Facts
  • Eleven of the Bengals' last 12 games as home favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Steelers' last 10 December games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the last six Sunday games at Paycor Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
  • Joe Burrow has recorded 286+ passing yards in four of his five previous December appearances at Paycor Stadium.
  • Joe Burrow has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of the Bengals' last four games following a loss.
  • Chase Brown has recorded 94+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bengals' last three games against AFC opponents.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Bengals' last five games.
  • Tee Higgins has recorded 60+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Bengals as favorites.
  • Joe Burrow has thrown three or more touchdowns in four of the Bengals' last five games against AFC opponents.
  • Joe Burrow has recorded 26+ completions in each of the Bengals' last four games.
  • Heading into Week 13, Trey Hendrickson ranks 1st in the NFL in sacks (11.5) this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
  • Russell Wilson has recorded 189+ passing yards in each of his six previous road appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • Russell Wilson has recorded 15+ rushing yards in 15 of his last 17 appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
  • George Pickens has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Steelers' last seven games as underdogs.
  • Najee Harris has scored a touchdown in each of the Steelers' last three games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
  • Jaylen Warren has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers' last 11 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • Russell Wilson has thrown three or more touchdowns in two of his three previous December appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • Russell Wilson has recorded 17+ completions in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC North opponents.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick is just one away from 20 career interceptions.
    As for Pittsburgh, they’re coming off a weird snow game versus the rival Browns. Pittsburgh oddly held Cleveland to just 1-of-10 on third downs in that one but gave up 4-of-4 on fourth-down plays. Pittsburgh has been below 20 points in consecutive outings now. When these teams play, you can usually throw out the record books and settle in for a tight game. I like Cincinnati to prevail cover/win-wise at home here thanks to the extra time off, but it should be a close one.

    San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills


    Bills are 3rd in the NFL in scoring with 29.1 points per game, and their defense ranks 7th by giving up just 19.5 points per game. Linebacker Dorian Williams leads the team in tackles with 97, over thirty more tackles than the next highest Bill. They have 27 sacks on the year, led by edge rusher Greg Rosseau with 5.5. They have 13 interceptions on the season with six players contributing two each including safety Damar Hamlin. This line seems a bit large, but this is going to be a game where you’ll have to monitor the injury report all week. As it stands, if the 49ers are anything less than 100%, I think you have to roll with Buffalo given how good they’ve been against everyone regardless of how good or bad the opposition is. San Fran would have to get everyone back for me to consider them here as they need a win to really stay alive in the playoff hunt, but I’m not sure even that would be enough. My Bet Buffalo Money Line -$275 X 7 Press

    Teasers Bets X 3 Press

    2 Team 7 Point Teaser Broncos + 1 1/2 & Bills Even

    2 Team 7 Point Teaser Bengals +4 & Bills Even

    3 Team 7 Point Teaser Bengals +4 & Bills Even & Broncos + 1 1/2
 
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We all have bad weeks, Like my Sunday week #12 picks and bets. You can't win them all sometimes, but I like said before, I will count my chips at the end of season. You can't win with the ~Bob Martin money strategy~ If you don't press once. I believe my record does speak for itself as the single strongest winning formula I use in my NFL game prediction ,with the same assumption of each about its probability to win. Remember my method is not risking adverser [risk is an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs], and considerable risk is assumed when you choose my method of Bob Martins Money Strategy. As with any gambling, or investing, there is always risk whether it’s systemic or otherwise. My friends you cannot win them all on your bets for season with strategy, but you will overcome your losses with wins on presses.
 

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49er are a shell of what they could be, they are more banged out then Tracy Lords in 86. McCaffrey came back too soon from his injury, buffalo off a bye week.
 
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I have been receiving a lot of personal e-mails and personal friends on my friends list on Rx, that would like know about Bob Martins money strategy. I use this strategy for all my winning seasons in NFL.>>>>> Press win on point spreads is worth +3 game win and your original investment [ Nickel bets are always pressed [ If you don't press Nickel bets [ $500] or even dollar bets [$100} you don't win on short end of money management [ Late Bob Martin [ My Mentor taught me this theory and other management money skills. This is not really a completed system, so you have study the concept... I am writing this strategy best I can for you guys I might have a couple flaws in this thread, but I did take time to write this for you guys that asked about my betting strategy.


I use press money line bets when I am laying money to plus money line bet [ If I like the action in following week Monday & Thursday night games included. If you don't press laying money [-] line bets to plus [+] money line bets the lay will kill you if you lose to many bets on the lay. You are actually hedging money line against the point spread. Betting point spread with money line on same game is must!!! Just One or two money lines a week with your point spread bet. Keep one money line bet you won as hold card for following week. My betting style press one time on 2nd win and will go back to an original money line bet after the press Win or Lose... Use the win on money line you bet as your hold card, use the money on following week bet all back called a press on the money line choose. Remember guys when you press you are betting minus -money line that you won to plus + money line on a team, or plus + money line that you won to a chalk bet.


Here is example for you let's say you bet 4 games and one of your bets is a money line bet [ you have to bet at least one money line week that choose [ Monday & Thursday night games included] with your four games that you bet. let's say you won Falcons on chalk bet money line you won as minus $- 140. [ a plus+ to plus+ also can be used if you won a plus +bet on your original bet use started with] Your next bet will be on following week on money line bet team has to be plus+ money line example 49ers + $ 130 with a press[ $100 that you won with $ 40 lay $240 you bet all it back ... $100 that you won with original bet on a plus+ game on a game the following week which is 49ers + $130. You win the press, well you just turned $240 into 2 times bet you won on a win +$130 bet. Well, if you do the math, you can see how much money you won on a press. you can also press point spread to money lines & point spreads to point spreads That's another subject... Well, my friends if you win more press bets on season, it might overcome your losses or just maybe with your wins [ bankroll] keep you in plus margin for remainder of season guys. My goal is 3x times my bankroll, but I will take 2x times bankroll /LOL!!! Last season I went 5x my bankroll!!!!!!!!!!!! [ Bob Martins money line strategy]
 
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The price of success is hard work, dedication"& motivation when you are handicapping games with Betting Success in the NFL.
Thanks To All Of You For Your Support, Friendship on Rx NFL Forum
Hårr¥THëHÄT
 

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I have been receiving a lot of personal e-mails and personal friends on my friends list on Rx, that would like know about Bob Martins money strategy. I use this strategy for all my winning seasons in NFL.>>>>> Press win on point spreads is worth +3 game win and your original investment [ Nickel bets are always pressed [ If you don't press Nickel bets [ $500] or even dollar bets [$100} you don't win on short end of money management [ Late Bob Martin [ My Mentor taught me this theory and other management money skills. This is not really a completed system, so you have study the concept... I am writing this strategy best I can for you guys I might have a couple flaws in this thread, but I did take time to write this for you guys that asked about my betting strategy.


I use press money line bets when I am laying money to plus money line bet [ If I like the action in following week Monday & Thursday night games included. If you don't press laying money [-] line bets to plus [+] money line bets the lay will kill you if you lose to many bets on the lay. You are actually hedging money line against the point spread. Betting point spread with money line on same game is must!!! Just One or two money lines a week with your point spread bet. Keep one money line bet you won as hold card for following week. My betting style press one time on 2nd win and will go back to an original money line bet after the press Win or Lose... Use the win on money line you bet as your hold card, use the money on following week bet all back called a press on the money line choose. Remember guys when you press you are betting minus -money line that you won to plus + money line on a team, or plus + money line that you won to a chalk bet.


Here is example for you let's say you bet 4 games and one of your bets is a money line bet [ you have to bet at least one money line week that choose [ Monday & Thursday night games included] with your four games that you bet. let's say you won Falcons on chalk bet money line you won as minus $- 140. [ a plus+ to plus+ also can be used if you won a plus +bet on your original bet use started with] Your next bet will be on following week on money line bet team has to be plus+ money line example 49ers + $ 130 with a press[ $100 that you won with $ 40 lay $240 you bet all it back ... $100 that you won with original bet on a plus+ game on a game the following week which is 49ers + $130. You win the press, well you just turned $240 into 2 times bet you won on a win +$130 bet. Well, if you do the math, you can see how much money you won on a press. you can also press point spread to money lines & point spreads to point spreads That's another subject... Well, my friends if you win more press bets on season, it might overcome your losses or just maybe with your wins [ bankroll] keep you in plus margin for remainder of season guys. My goal is 3x times my bankroll, but I will take 2x times bankroll /LOL!!! Last season I went 5x my bankroll!!!!!!!!!!!! [ Bob Martins money line strategy]
I've never seen you post a + money line bet?
 

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I've never seen you post a + money line bet?

He wrote multiple long paragraphs about his betting system but all he has to do is type the specific bet and how you make it instead of repeating words like press bet. How many times have people asked him to do that and he doesn't. If he claims it works than the specifics are important of how. If I understand it correctly he lost about 100 units last week. Tough to come back from that. But maybe I am wrong because he claims this specific way of betting but never the specific bets.
I assume the press bet just means spread and then bigger on ML. But he had Washington only ML and called it 10 x press.
Either way imo those ML bets are bad. Just take good teams in teases which he actually seems to win more than lose.
 
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I read the press bet explanation and I have no idea what it says. The way it's written, I cant make heads or tails out of it.
Well let's say you bet $110 on SF and win the bet. Now the following week you like Miami, your next bet with a press is $210 that you won on SF on Miami +3[ you add a $10 make it $220. If you win the Miami bet, you win $420. You can also press point spread to money lines & point spreads to point spreads. Your next bet will go back with your original bet use started with $110 on a game. doctorssuccess I hope this could answer your question little bit better. Lets just say you made 3 bets on flowing week and won them all. make be you take shot with 2 presses on following week. you get the picture
 
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Well let's say you bet $110 on SF and win the bet. Now the following week you like Miami, your next bet with a press is $210 that you won on SF on Miami +3[ you add a $10 make it $220. If you win the Miami bet, you win $420. You can also press point spread to money lines & point spreads to point spreads. Your next bet will go back with your original bet use started with $110 on a game. doctorssuccess I hope this could answer your question little bit better. Lets just say you made 3 bets on flowing week and won them all. make be you take shot with 2 presses on following week. you get the picture
Thanks. Sounds like you're betting a little over double. Win $100 on game one, bet that original $100, plus the $110 you risked, plus an additional $10 on game two. Then do you stop after game two and go back to $110 to win $100 on game three, or bet the whole shebang $420, plus a little extra on game three?
 
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Thanks. Sounds like you're betting a little over double. Win $100 on game one, bet that original $100, plus the $110 you risked, plus an additional $10 on game two. Then do you stop after game two and go back to $110 to win $100 on game three, or bet the whole shebang $420, plus a little extra on game three?
 
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Well, I almost did that in week #11 doctorsuccess in a different fashion.
W/L For Sundays Games Week #11


1st Half Money Line -$ 485 X 6[Press] Big Time Bet Win

Lions' -13[ buying the hook Win

1st Half Lions' -7 Win

2 team 6-point teaser Tennessee Titans + 12 & Lions -7 1/2 Win

7 Point 2 Team Teaser +5 Bills & Lions -6 1/2 Win

3 Team 7 Point Teaser +5 Bills & Lions -6 1/2 & Titans + 13..Win

Nice 6 Bet Sweep for Sunday
 
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Week# 10 The teaser bets X3 Press got me out of hole into win column

My Bet Detroit -3 buying the hook /// Push

Money Line Hedge Detroit -$186 X 5 press Win

My Bet Falcons -3 buying hook Lost

Hedging Money Line Falcons -$185 X 5 [Press] Lost

Bills Money Line -$210 X 3 [Press] Win

My Teaser Bets X 3 [on the money press]

2 Team 7 Point Teaser Detroit +3 1/2 & Falcons +3 1/2 Win

2 Team 7 Point Teaser Detroit +3 1/2 & Bills +3 Win

2 Team 7 Point Teaser Bills +3 & Falcons +3 1/2 Win

3 Team 7 Point Teaser Falcons +3 1/2 & Detroit +3 1/2 & Bills +3 Win
 

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*****Handicapping information copied & pasted from Internet Sports Media. Bleacher Report, Inc., USA Today Sports Media Group, Pro Football Weekly's & NFL Weather.com, Football Stats and History, and other sources connected with NFL Sports. * *****Stats taken from Power Ratings Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power, B&Rs Expert Consensus rating, with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~[Cleveland OH] Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Mike Stewart NFL Capper, Sports Analyst Robert Vinaltti, Harold Johnson NFL Analyst, Kyle Davis NFL Capper, Sam Trever NFL Capper, Steve Davis NFL Analyst, Sal Siciliano ,NFL Capper, Harvey DeCarlo NFL Capper Bobby Lancer NFL Analyst Handicapper, There Exclusive Ratings & There Calculated Point Spreads With Trends & Statistics and Indicators. Intelligent Analysis of the NFL Compliments From ~Hårr¥THëHÄT ~

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos My Top Pick & Bet Mondays Night Game

Nix is already started to look like a vet under center and the team is rallying around him quickly. But the biggest thing for Denver this year has been their defense and their ability to put pressure on the other team’s QB. The Browns aren’t particularly strong in aspects of their offense, but Chubb is always a legitimate threat. Unfortunately, he’s up against the sixth best run defense in the league and one of only six teams allowing less than 100 yards on the ground each week. Denver is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against the Browns.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

  • Courtland Sutton has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Broncos' last four games against AFC opponents.
  • Bo Nix has recorded 223+ passing yards in each of the Broncos' last three games following a win.
  • Adam Trautman has recorded 19+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos' last four games as favorites following a road win.
  • Javonte Williams has recorded 41+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine appearances with the Broncos as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Javonte Williams has recorded 57+ rushing and receiving yards in 13 of his 15 previous home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Broncos' last three games.
  • Bo Nix has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Broncos' last two games at Empower Field at Mile High.
  • Kwon Alexander is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
  • Jerry Jeudy has recorded 54+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
  • Nick Chubb has recorded 73+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his six previous road appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances with the Browns as underdogs against AFC West opponents.
  • Jameis Winston has recorded 247+ passing yards in seven of his eight previous December appearances with his team as a road underdog.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 24+ completions in six of his last seven appearances against AFC West opponents.
  • Juan Thornhill is just two away from 10 career interceptions. I’m on the Broncos here. The win over the Steelers is all well and good, but now the Browns have to head on the road to take on one of the stiffer defensive units in the NFL and I just don’t know how Jameis Winston is going to fare there. I’m not loving the thought of Bo Nix being chased by Myles Garrett, but Nix can do enough with his legs to get the Broncos moving and I think the Broncos win this one by a TD. Give me Denver. My Bet Broncos -5 Hedging Money Line -$250 X 10 [Press]
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Total Points Facts
  • Eleven of the Bengals' last 12 games as home favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Steelers' last 10 December games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the last six Sunday games at Paycor Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
  • Joe Burrow has recorded 286+ passing yards in four of his five previous December appearances at Paycor Stadium.
  • Joe Burrow has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of the Bengals' last four games following a loss.
  • Chase Brown has recorded 94+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bengals' last three games against AFC opponents.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Bengals' last five games.
  • Tee Higgins has recorded 60+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Bengals as favorites.
  • Joe Burrow has thrown three or more touchdowns in four of the Bengals' last five games against AFC opponents.
  • Joe Burrow has recorded 26+ completions in each of the Bengals' last four games.
  • Heading into Week 13, Trey Hendrickson ranks 1st in the NFL in sacks (11.5) this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
  • Russell Wilson has recorded 189+ passing yards in each of his six previous road appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • Russell Wilson has recorded 15+ rushing yards in 15 of his last 17 appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
  • George Pickens has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Steelers' last seven games as underdogs.
  • Najee Harris has scored a touchdown in each of the Steelers' last three games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
  • Jaylen Warren has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers' last 11 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • Russell Wilson has thrown three or more touchdowns in two of his three previous December appearances against AFC North opponents.
  • Russell Wilson has recorded 17+ completions in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC North opponents.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick is just one away from 20 career interceptions.
    As for Pittsburgh, they’re coming off a weird snow game versus the rival Browns. Pittsburgh oddly held Cleveland to just 1-of-10 on third downs in that one but gave up 4-of-4 on fourth-down plays. Pittsburgh has been below 20 points in consecutive outings now. When these teams play, you can usually throw out the record books and settle in for a tight game. I like Cincinnati to prevail cover/win-wise at home here thanks to the extra time off, but it should be a close one.

    San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills


    Bills are 3rd in the NFL in scoring with 29.1 points per game, and their defense ranks 7th by giving up just 19.5 points per game. Linebacker Dorian Williams leads the team in tackles with 97, over thirty more tackles than the next highest Bill. They have 27 sacks on the year, led by edge rusher Greg Rosseau with 5.5. They have 13 interceptions on the season with six players contributing two each including safety Damar Hamlin. This line seems a bit large, but this is going to be a game where you’ll have to monitor the injury report all week. As it stands, if the 49ers are anything less than 100%, I think you have to roll with Buffalo given how good they’ve been against everyone regardless of how good or bad the opposition is. San Fran would have to get everyone back for me to consider them here as they need a win to really stay alive in the playoff hunt, but I’m not sure even that would be enough. My Bet Buffalo Money Line -$275 X 7 Press

    Teasers Bets X 3 Press

    2 Team 7 Point Teaser Broncos + 1 1/2 & Bills Even

    2 Team 7 Point Teaser Bengals +4 & Bills Even

    3 Team 7 Point Teaser Bengals +4 & Bills Even & Broncos + 1 1/2
Harry what is Buffalo-275 7 press mean? If I'm a 500 bettor is that 3500?
 

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I like reading your write ups every week… that being said I always just assumed you like to bet heavy favorites on the Money Line…. Works out more than it doesn’t, but when it stings it really stings.

I appreciate you trying to explain it more, still not sure I understand it. As the person above said, I’m not sure I’ve noticed ML bets on dogs.

Anyway, thanks for your weekly write ups. I definitely read them along with about 5 other guys I find do solid research.
 

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I like reading your write ups every week… that being said I always just assumed you like to bet heavy favorites on the Money Line…. Works out more than it doesn’t, but when it stings it really stings.

I appreciate you trying to explain it more, still not sure I understand it. As the person above said, I’m not sure I’ve noticed ML bets on dogs.

Anyway, thanks for your weekly write ups. I definitely read them along with about 5 other guys I find do solid research.
Never get an honest answer. As I understand it, if you lose a 10x press At -600 it takes too many winners to make up for it.
 

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